WHERE HAVE ALL THE DEMOCRATS GONE?

Two respected political analysts look at the shifting landscape and find much to worry the Democratic Party.

At first glance, this would seem to be an odd time for this book. The theme is that the Democrats are in trouble, which is strange to think about when the party holds the White House, the Senate, and two dozen governorships. However, American Enterprise Institute senior fellow Judis and Talking Points Memo editor at large Teixeira focus on the broader trends underlying political changes. They acknowledge that their allegiance lies with the Democrats, and they are displeased with what they see as the party’s radical turn to the left. In an influential 2002 book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, the authors argued that Democratic-leaning ethnic minorities would grow while the Republican base would shrink, but they emphasized that the Democrats would have to actively court votes from the Latino and Asian American populations, while striving to keep white, blue-collar voters. This critical point was often ignored, and the past decade has seen large chunks of these groups switch to the Republicans. Teixeira and Judis examine the Democratic “shadow party” of foundations, lobby groups, quasi-socialist academics and Wall Street donors, which loudly pushes an agenda of identity politics and free trade that is out of alignment with mainstream values. Attacking anyone who disagrees as a deplorable racist does not help to win support. Joe Biden has tried to distance himself from the extreme end of the spectrum, but the rot runs deep. The strongest card for the Democrats seems to be the unpopularity of Trump, but that will not be enough to overcome the long-term impact of the trends the authors analyze. The obvious solution is for the party to move back toward the center, but the authors do not sound optimistic about it.

Backed by solid research, this book sounds a powerful warning that should resonate throughout the Democratic leadership.